The places in New York City where Republicans still have a chance

The Republican candidates in New York’s competitive races differ from each other in tone, experience, and the local issues that reflect their distinctive districts.

But all of these contests, party officials and strategists say, are shaped by the continued emergence of public safety in voters’ minds, discussion of education issues like the talented and talented program that Mayor Bill de Blasio wants to phase out, and intense feelings about vaccine mandates. Some Republicans even argue that the challenging national environment that Democrats seem to face may also be evident in a handful of city races.

“This has a lot in common with 2009, when Obama came in on hope and change and then fell flat,” said Nick Langworthy, chairman of the New York Republican State Committee. “In 2009, we had big gains at the local level, and then we had a disaster in 2010. Are we facing that, or will there be flatness all around?”

Regardless of the turnout, Republicans are almost certain to be shut out of city-wide offices. In fact, the Republican Party has been decimated by almost every poll in the country’s largest city. They are far outnumbered in voter registration and have struggled to field credible candidates for major positions.

At the city council level, Republican hopes boil down to a matter of margins.

The most optimistic Republican assessment, apart from an extraordinary development, is that they could increase their presence to five from three in the city council with 51 seats, as they did in 2009. But even that would require a surprising result in a sleepwalk – and that it is possible that they only retain one seat (set aside the candidates running in several parties).

Officials on both sides of the aisle believe a more realistic target for Republicans is three or four seats, a number that could still affect the brewing city council speaker’s race and could indicate pockets of dissatisfaction with the direction of the city.

The most high-profile of these competitions is the last Republican seat in Queens.

Ms. Singh, a teacher endorsed by the left-wing Working Families Party, is running against Joann Ariola, chairman of the Queens Republican Party. The race has aroused considerable interest from left and right and attracted expenses from external groups.

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